The Congress managed to win simply 26 out of 126 constituencies with a 30.9% vote share in Assam in 2016 even because the Bharatiya Janata Celebration (BJP) with 29.5% of votes bought 60 seats and got here to energy within the state for the primary time. BJP’s allies Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland Individuals’s Entrance (BPF) bought almost 12% votes, gained 14 and 12 seats, taking the ruling alliance’s tally to 86.
The Congress’s power within the meeting has since 2016 been diminished to 19. Former chief minister Tarun Gogoi’s loss of life in November as a result of post-Covid-19 problems was one other main setback to the social gathering together with the defection of two of its legislators to affix the BJP forward of the 2021 elections.
The Congress, which dominated the state for 15 years earlier than dropping energy in 2016, is hoping for a comeback on the again of a multi-party alliance, electoral ensures, and unity inside the social gathering ranks. It tied up in January with fragrance baron and Lok Sabha member Badruddin Ajmal’s All India United Democratic Entrance (AIUDF), the Communist Celebration of India, Communist Celebration of India (Marxist), and Communist Celebration of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation and Anchalik Gana Morcha.
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AIUDF holds appreciable sway over Bengali-speaking Muslims, who can affect outcomes of almost 30 seats in central, decrease Assam, and three districts of the Barak Valley. The tie-up was sealed regardless of apprehensions inside the Congress that it may affect the social gathering’s prospects within the Higher Assam belt, which has round 45 seats.
The alliance was boosted when the BPF, which is influential within the 4 districts of Bodoland Territorial Area (BTR), joined it after quitting the BJP-led coalition. The Congress has additionally been wooing two new regional events, Assam Jatiya Parishad and Raijor Dal, that are contesting the polls collectively.
An AGP workplace bearer, who spoke on situation of anonymity, stated the AIUDF bought 13 seats in 2016 and BPF 12 and 13% and 4% vote share. “If that’s added to the Congress’s determine, the entire vote share of the three events was 57%. If that will get repeated this time, it may make it tough for us to return to energy.”
The BJP has been focusing on the Congress-AIUDF alliance calling it unholy that “threatens” the tradition, faith, language of the indigenous Assamese. Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma has been among the many BJP leaders who’ve warned towards unlawful immigrants and claimed Assam would “flip into Bangladesh” if Ajmal’s AIUDF and Congress come to energy.
Congress leaders in Assam have tried to bury their variations a minimum of within the public and joined fingers to oust BJP. State Congress chief Ripun Bora, legislature social gathering chief Debabrata Saikia, Lok Sabha members Pradyut Bordoloi and Gaurav Gogoi, All India Mahila Congress president Sushmita Dev and former minister Rakibul Hussain are incessantly seen collectively at social gathering occasions to convey the message of unity.
The Congress has additionally roped in Chhattisgarh chief minister Bhupesh Baghel and the social gathering’s Assam in-charge, Jitendra Singh. Singh has stayed put within the state and formulated the social gathering ballot technique in consultations with leaders in Assam and Delhi. Baghel has deputed his aides Vinod Verma, Rajesh Tiwari, and Ruchir Garg from Chhattisgarh to Assam.
Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi Vadra have additionally interacted with employees and voters to spice up Congress’s possibilities within the state. Gandhi has promised the Congress won’t implement the Citizenship Modification Act (CAA) in Assam if the social gathering involves energy.
The CAA was handed in 2019 to fast-track the citizenship course of for non-Muslims from Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Afghanistan. It has triggered fears of a recent inflow of immigrants from Bangladesh.
Priyanka Gandhi pledged 500,000 jobs, ₹2,000 monthly allowance to housewives, a minimal day by day wage of ₹365 to tea backyard employees and 200 models of free electrical energy each month. The Congress adopted this up with a promise of fifty% reservation in authorities jobs for ladies if it involves energy.
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Congress leaders say that as an alternative of creating guarantees, the social gathering is guaranteeing that they are going to be stored.
Gaurav Gogoi, the chief of Congress’s manifesto committee, stated the social gathering was promising solely 500,000 authorities jobs versus the BJP’s unfulfilled promise of employment technology for two.5 million. “We’ve got studied the state finances and consulted economists and have come to the conclusion that it’s attainable to supply 500,000 jobs in 5 years. Since it is a assure and never an empty election promise, we wished to be trustworthy and provide you with a determine that’s really attainable.”
The Congress has given tickets to all however certainly one of its lawmakers for the primary and second section of polling on March 27 and April 1. Sum Ronghang, a BJP lawmaker and minister, give up the social gathering and joined Congress after being denied a ticket.
Congress has introduced the names of 66 candidates for the primary two phases of polls. It’s but to finalise the seat-sharing association with AIUDF and BPF for the third section on April 6.
AIUDF lawmaker Aminul Islam stated their alliance will likely be voted to energy simply. “Previous to BPF becoming a member of us, we had been anticipating round 60-62 seats, however now…we’ll win round 70 of the entire 126 seats. AIUDF alone will win round 18-20 seats.”
BJP spokesperson Rupam Goswami stated the Congress has proven its true colors by becoming a member of fingers with AIUDF, which was shaped to safeguard the pursuits of suspected foreigners. “It’s an unholy nexus and can spell doom for the state’s indigenous individuals. Voters in Assam are conscious and alert, and they might not permit that to occur. Primarily based on our authorities’s work…the BJP will return to energy.”